Tuesday, March 29, 2011

Keep Your Stacks High with Slick Bluffs

Poker HandsImage via WikipediaFrom what have you probably seen in television, you might have noticed some great bluffs that made many doubt if their hands are strong enough (when it truly is), then throw it away out of fear. It is a skill that serious poker players have to incorporate into their game to be successful in poker and stack up the chip count in the long run.

There are basic bluffs that one really has to do especially in short-tables and ones that you only do sparingly that pave the way to the pot.

A Basic Bluff


Technically, this technique is a semi-bluff, but it is deceptive nonetheless. It makes your opponents believe that you have the top pair but in reality, you merely have a drawing hand. Let’s look an example:

You have J-6, both hearts, with four people in the table. The flop shows A-5-8 with the last two having hearts as suits. It’s an ugly flop for those holding face cards except ace and this is an opportunity to make a good-sized flop of around 2/3 of the pot. You seem to represent that you have a pair of eights or aces but you only have the flush draw. In the case that a suit other than a heart shows up on the turn card, don’t fold immediately to a bet. See first if you get sufficient pot odds for calling it. A good size is 3/5 or below as compared to the size of the pot. This way, not only do you have an opportunity to hit a flush, you make sure that it won’t eat up your stack substantially that it renders you soft and defenseless.

Advanced Bluffs

These kinds of bluffs usually appear in the latter stages of the betting round, done when the turn and/or the river card shows up. It may be a panicked all-in when you have the nuts or a soft-looking bet on the river that scares advanced players out their wits (I’ll explain why later).

First is the jumpy all-in bet. There is a specific sequence of circumstances that makes this bluff work. First is that you must raise pre-flop with medium to low suited connectors like 3-4 diamonds or 6-7 hearts. The raise, of course, represents something else like Queens or Jacks. When you hold 6-7 hearts and the flop shows 4-5-9, with the first two having hearts for a suit, put down the automatic continuation bet of around half the pot, showing that you have high face cards and you seem to believe that the flop didn’t hit your opponents either. Of course, they will call that bet. When 8-of-hearts is shown on the turn, then you have the nut straight flush, beating anyone who holds a straight. When this happens, don’t just shove your chips right there. Think for a long while and then go all-in. This gives off the impression that you have a set. If anyone has a straight, which is likely because he/she called a good-sized bet, he/she will call it given the seeming desperation of your bet.

The second bluff I’ll teach you is the Post-Oak Bluff. It is very simple; both are bold enough to bet until the river card shows up, when you make a smallish bet of around 1/3 of the pot. It seems as if you are begging him to call you, in an attempt to maximize your gain. But in truth you only have a weak hand, trying to outplay your opponent. This bluff only works for top players, who know the science behind poker betting.

There is an old adage that says large bets scare the beginner while small ones frighten the strong ones. Keep that in mind and you’ll have a good base for your bluffs, and you’ll win more pots in the long run.
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Sunday, March 06, 2011

Texas Hold'em And The Probabilities

A pair of aces is arguably the best hand to be...Image via WikipediaWell, learning the basics of the game Texas Hold'em is pretty easy. The tough part is getting to master it. If you want to play the game well, you need to mix the ingredients of cunning, strategy and math and come with a winner. What you will also need to do is to keep a keen eye on the many probabilities that are likely to crop up during play. From there, you will have to figure out how to deal with these probabilities should you come up against them.

What does probability mean exactly when it is used with reference to Texas Hold'em? Well it's a term that is used very much in all games of poker including Texas Hold'em. It deals with how the players involved play their odds. The elements of probability include the various odds that could happen like getting an overcard, getting a hand off the flop, or finishing a straight or flush. All these odds are the determining factors when it comes to deciding who will win the game and who will walk home with the winnings. So you need to understand quite a lot about probability so it would help you to bet, call or fold.

Let's look at the terms used when it comes to Texas Hold'em probabilities. One of the terms that you will hear quite often in the game is ‘out'. This refers to the cards which could help you to get a hand. Say you have four spades with you, you know there are nine cards out so you need some of those ‘outs' to help you make a flush or a winning hand.

Yet another term that is used often is the one ‘pot odds'. These are the odds of getting a hand which is based on the current size of the pot as well as the call that you are going to make next. So if the pot's current size is $150 and you have a $10 bet coming, you can calculate that a winning hand could make it very profitable for you.

You also have ‘bet odds' where you have to look at the odds in relation to the bets the players make and how many call against a raise. You can say you have good bet odds if you have hand odds that are 1 to 5 and you are pretty certain that the ones you are playing against will call.

Then comes the term ‘implies odds' where you have the odds depending on whether you can predict the results of the betting round or not. Now this comes after you've had quite a bit of experience.

What is the main idea in Texas Hold'em's probabilities? It all boils down basically to division. Your denominator is the cards that you haven't seen yet and the cards or outs you have with you is your numerator. You need to divide your outs by 50 before the flop but after that it tends to drop to 47 and following the turn, you'll find it goes to 46.

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